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NFP

Showing results for: "NFP"

NFP Shocks Market, Triggers Dollar Surge

Market Summary Last Friday’s U.S. Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) report rattled financial markets with a significantly higher-than-expected reading, far surpassing both market expectations and the previous month’s figures. The robust job data dashed hopes for an early rate hike from the Federal Reserve, as a tight labour market could potentially spur higher inflation, …

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Market Awaits For Crucial NFP

Market Summary All eyes are on today’s Nonfarm Payroll (NFP) and U.S. unemployment rate data, which could be the final piece of the puzzle for the Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision this year. Recent lackluster U.S. economic indicators, alongside monetary policy pivots from the Bank of Canada (BoC) and the European Central …

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Soft NFP Spurs Stock Market

Market Summary Last Friday saw a notable weakening in the dollar, with the dollar index (DXY) declining to its monthly low following the underwhelming U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which significantly missed market expectations. This soft job data has fueled market speculation about a possible interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve …

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Strong NFP Bolsters The Dollar

Market Summary The U.S. labour market’s vigorous expansion, with the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report disclosing an impressive 303,000 job additions that exceeded both previous results and projections, accentuated the U.S. economy’s resilience and amplified concerns over enduring high inflation. Consequently, the Dollar Index (DXY) experienced a resurgence as forecasts about the Federal …

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Dollar Buoys By Optimistic NFP Expectation

Market Summary The dollar index (DXY) briefly dipped below the pivotal $104 mark before rebounding in anticipation of the upcoming release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, introducing an element of volatility into the market. Recent positive economic indicators, particularly the ADP non-farm employment change figures, exceeding expectations, have buoyed market sentiment …

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Upbeat NFP Stimulates Dollar

The robust U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report released last Friday, with a reading of 353k has significantly impacted the market The robust U.S. Nonfarm Payroll report released last Friday, with a reading of 353k, higher than the previous 333k, has significantly impacted the market. The data suggests that the U.S. labour market remains …

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Strong NFP Bolsters Dollar’s Strength

Nonfarm Payroll beat expectations, lifting the dollar. China reduced property down payments, boosting its equity markets. The latest Nonfarm Payroll report, released last Friday, exceeded market expectations with 187k jobs added, significantly higher than the previous 157k. This robust job data boosted the dollar by over 0.6%, while equity markets took some …

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Dollar Surges on Impressive NFP and Debt Ceiling Resolution

Markets are now risk-on after the US Nonfarm Payrolls reported a much higher-than-expected increase in jobs. In response to impressive non-farm payroll figures, the US Dollar surged, buoyed by renewed market optimism surrounding the US economic progression. NFP in May saw a remarkable increase of 330,000 jobs, surpassing expectations and outpacing the …

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Share Markets Advance After NFP Release

The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reading was in line with expectations, showing a substantial increase from the previous reading of 165,000 to 253,000. This suggests that the job market in the United States remains strong, indicating a robust economy. The equity market responded positively to this economic data and closed higher, resulting in …

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Equity Market Slides Ahead Of NFP Release

Renewed fears about the banking crisis have caused investors to turn risk-off even as gold hits a new high While investors are still digesting the recent rate hike by both the Fed and the ECB, the equity markets continue to slide with the renewed banking turmoil. Several regional banks in the US …

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Ahead of NFP, Fed Implements Lowest Rate Hike in 10 Months

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released its monetary policy decision for February 2023, raising the benchmark interest rate by 25 points at the conclusion of the FOMC meeting, as widely expected by the markets. This brings the target range of 4.5% to 4.75%, making it the highest since October 2007. This …

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Will Dovish Signalling Underscore the Effects of the Upcoming NFP?

On Wednesday evening, November’s ADP Nonfarm Employment Change numbers were released, vastly underperforming expectations with an increase of 127,000 private payroll jobs, well below the estimate of 190,000 and the previous month’s 239,000.  The leisure and hospitality sector was the largest gainer, with an increase in 224,000 jobs. The most significant sector …

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ADP Nonfarm Underperforms Ahead of NFP

On Wednesday (GMT+3) 31st August, the ADP US Nonfarm Employment figures were released after a 2-month hiatus. According to the ADP, US private payrolls grew by 132,000 – down from the 268,000 in July and the forecasted 300,000 increase. The ADP took a two-month hiatus to revise its methodology and released June, …

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Will JOLTs Data Foreshadow Friday’s NFP?

On Tuesday evening (GMT+3), the US JOLTs Job Openings data was released, showing 10.689 million job openings, lower than the expected 11 million and the previous month’s value of 11.303 million. This is also the lowest in 9 months.  Robert Frick, corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, notes: “Fewer openings likely …

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US Dollar Index Consolidates Ahead of US NFP Report

On Thursday evening (GMT+3), the US Initial Jobless Claims data was released, showing that 235,000 people filed for unemployment insurance for the first time in the week of July second. This is the highest since January this year, and up from the forecasted 230,000 and the previous month’s 231,000. Continuing claims, whose …

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Dollar Calm ahead of FOMC Minutes

Market Summary The dollar index steadied in the last session, trading above the $105 mark, ahead of the highly anticipated FOMC meeting minutes. Market expectations are leaning towards a more hawkish stance from the U.S. central bank due to a tight labour market. Analysts predict that the Fed is likely to implement …

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Dollar Steadies As The Market Await For FOMC Minutes

Market Summary The dollar index is poised at its recent high level, while U.S. equity markets eked out marginal gains as the market awaits Wednesday’s crucial CPI reading and the FOMC meeting minutes. Although the market widely believes that the Fed will keep the rate on hold, there is less certainty about …

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Hawkish Fed’s Comment Strengthen The Dollar

Market Summary The latest session saw equity markets mainly focusing on earnings reports from prominent companies, maintaining a relatively steady position amidst a broader economic context. While last week’s softer-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report temporarily influenced market sentiment, attention has shifted back to corporate performance as a key driver for stock movements. …

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Dollar Hammers By Dovish Powell Statement

Market Summary The financial markets were roiled by Jerome Powell’s remarks following the Fed’s interest rate decision announcement. Powell’s dovish stance prompted a sharp decline in the strength of the U.S. dollar, while gold prices rebounded on the prospect of a softer dollar. Despite ongoing signs of inflationary pressures in the U.S, …

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Dollar Surges on CPI Beat, Gold Pressured

Market Summary The Dollar Index surged on the back of robust inflation data, surprising investors and challenging expectations of an imminent rate cut. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures outpaced forecasts for the fourth consecutive month, reaching 3.5% over the 12 months to March. This unexpected inflationary pressure prompted a reevaluation of …

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Dovish Powell’s Testimony Hammers Dollar

* The dollar index traded to its one-month low after a Dovish Testimony by Jerome Powell.  * The soft dollar has pushed the gold to break its all-time high levels with strong bullish momentum in sight.  * BTC rebounded and is back to $67000 territory.  Market Summary The Powell testimony that began …

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Dovish Powell’s Testimony Hammers Dollar

* The dollar index traded to its one-month low after a Dovish Testimony by Jerome Powell.  * The soft dollar has pushed the gold to break its all-time high levels with strong bullish momentum in sight.  * BTC rebounded and is back to $67000 territory.  Market Summary The Powell testimony that began …

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U.S. PCE Pressures Dollar To Trade Lower

The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …

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U.S. PCE Pressures Dollar To Trade Lower

The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …

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U.S. PCE Pressures Dollar to Trade Lower

The PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE reading, revealed last Friday, contributed to a decline in the strength of the dollar. The inflation data, aligning with market expectations at 2.6%, suggests that pricing pressures in …

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Dollar Surge On Above Expectation Job Data

Dollar strengthened as U.S. economic data including PCE and initial Jobless Claims better than than market expectation. The U.S. equity market’s winning streak ended as the Dow Jones closed about 0.5% lower due to mixed economic data. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, matched market forecasts at 4.2%, while Initial …

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Anticipated Economic Data For The Upcoming Week

The Week Ahead: Week of 28 August (GMT+3) Tuesday, 29 August, 17:00 – US JOLTs Job Openings (Jul) The market had anticipated a June reading of 9.610 million, but the actual figure fell slightly short of expectations, registering at 9.582 million. Given the current tight labour market conditions, this reading is seen …

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Dollar Surge on Above Expectation Job Data

Dollar strengthened as U.S. economic data including PCE and initial Jobless Claims better than than market expectation. The U.S. equity market’s winning streak ended as the Dow Jones closed about 0.5% lower due to mixed economic data. The Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the PCE index, matched market forecasts at 4.2%, while Initial …

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Fed Officials Emphasise Higher Interest Rate Needed

Markets are now assessing the hawkish outlook against visibly cooling inflation Several Federal Reserve officials have expressed the view that interest rates need to be raised further this year in order to bring inflation back to the targeted rate of 2%. Despite this hawkish sentiment from the Fed, the market is inclined …

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RBA Holding The Interest Rate Unchanged

Market participants remained relatively calm, eye on several crucial data including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) The market was surprised when the RBA decided to keep rates unchanged yesterday. The Australian central bank emphasized a data-dependent strategy and indicated potential future tightening if necessary. Oil prices slightly increased as Saudi Arabia unilaterally reduced production, …

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Equity Markets Positive After Russia Mutiny Resolved

Geopolitical tensions eased following Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow as both parties had reached consensus on certain deals. Political instability in Russia has abated as Prigozhin’s troops retreat from Moscow, leading to a positive response in equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, which rose over 1%. Oil and gold prices declined as the …

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Powell Signals Higher Rates

On the first day of Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony before the House, the Federal Reserve Chair delivered a semi-annual monetary policy report. The equity markets and the dollar both experienced declines as Powell took a hawkish stance, stating that the central bank would need to raise interest rates further to curtail U.S. …

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Dollar Surrenders After Rate Pause Decision

Following the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged, equity markets responded positively, leading to upward movements, while the U.S. dollar experienced a significant decline of nearly 1% last night. On the other hand, Asian equities continue to gain, helped by the expectation of more stimulus from China. On top …

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Markets Waiting For CPI To Gauge Fed’s Next Move

The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike The U.S. equity market witnessed a notable rally as investors expressed optimism about the possibility of the Federal Reserve pausing the rate hike, with the decision scheduled to be …

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US CPI Shows Signs Of Moderation But Caution Still Advised

Markets have posted a slight rally after inflation came in lower than analyst expectations even as a debt crisis looms. On Wednesday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the year-on-year CPI readings for April, where a rise of 4.9% came in marginally lower than economists’ expectations of 5.0%. Meanwhile, month-on-month core …

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Markets Calm Before Inflation Data

Economists project the upcoming U.S. CPI figures will galvanise the markets in either direction depending on its performance U.S. equity markets have traded in low volatility for the past few sessions, but economists project the lull period will be broken after the U.S. CPI is released later today. A softer reading from …

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Markets Steady Ahead of NonFarm Payroll.

Most of the asset classes were muted ahead of the Nonfarm Payroll report which will be released today; Markets seemed confused and contradictory between asset classes with the backdrop of high inflation and recession fears. Assets class, including equity markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, stayed flat on Thursday amid directionless trading. On …

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Nasdaq 100 Enters Bull Market as Fears Over Banking Crisis Ease

On Wednesday, 8 March, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm Employment Change data for February was released, coming in at a lower-than-expected 145,000 against the expected 200,000 and down from January’s figure of an upwardly-revised 261,000. This is the latest in a string of cooling data showing that the Fed’s aggressive tightening regime might …

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Stubbornly Strong Jobs Data Supports Hawkish Fed Outlook

In a continued chain of unrelentingly robust jobs data, the U.S. ADP Nonfarm printed a reading of 242,000  for February, higher than an estimated 205 000 and up from a revised 119,000 for January. The service sector had the largest contribution to  job additions with 190,000, of which a majority came from …

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Commodities Surge as China’s Economy Recovery Sprints Ahead

On Wednesday, China released its Manufacturing PMI and Caixin Manufacturing PMI for February, beating economists’ expectations of 50.5 and 50.2 respectively. A reading above 50 indicates expansion from the previous month. This is the highest reading since April 2012, marking a faster-than-expected rebound for the world’s second-largest economy after covid-19 related shutdowns …

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FOMC Minutes Show Fight Against Inflation Will Continue, Soft Landing Possible

An increasingly risk-off market has been proved right as the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has released the minutes of its 31 Jan – 1 Feb meeting, signalling the Fed’s resolve to continue the fight against inflation. This includes further hikes, although almost all members of the FOMC supported a slowing …

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Amazon Reports Growing Share of Tech Market

Amazon’s advertising business continues to thrive, growing 19% YoY in Q4 2022 to $11.6 billion in sales, despite a slowdown in the digital advertising market that has affected other companies like Alphabet, Facebook, and Snap. While Amazon’s advertising unit is still a small portion of the company’s overall revenue, it is seen …

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FOMC Minutes:  No Light at the End of The Tunnel for Fed

On Wednesday, the U.S Federal Reserve released the minutes for its 13-14 December meeting, revealing a key message coming from committee members to investors: don’t start counting on a dovish pivot just yet.   Quoting from the minutes – “an unwarranted easing in financial conditions, especially if driven by a misperception by the …

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Will the Japanese Yen See a Big U-Turn in 2023?

On Wednesday, the Bank of Japan released a summary of opinions from its December meeting. The meeting, originally held on 20 December, saw the BoJ increase its 10-year benchmark yield ceiling in a surprise move that boosted the yen over 3% by investors betting on a Hawkish turn by the BoJ.  However, …

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6 Key Gold Trading Strategies To Know

In order to maximise your profits, understanding gold trading strategies are vital. Gold trading strategies are referred to as guidebooks by many gold traders to navigate how to manage a trade and when to close it. However, each form of a transaction has its own characteristics and not all trading strategies used …

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U.S. Midterm Elections Ahead

What You Need to Know Asian markets are on the upsurge, especially the Hong Kong market, which climbed more than 11% in November. The Sterling will suffer as the BoE has turned its focus from inflation to saving its negative economic outlook, which will drive the market to sell off more pounds. …

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Outsized ADP Nonfarm Employment Fizzles Stock Rally give back

On Wednesday evening (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released, clocking in at 208,000 jobs added, better than the 200,000 forecasted and August’s 185,000. While the manufacturing, natural resources, and mining industries reported a loss of 29,000 positions, huge additions in the trade, transportation, utilities; and business and professional services …

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Rate Hike Overshadows US ADP Nonfarm Employment Figures

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT+3), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment Change figures were announced, revealing that employment in the US rose by 247,000, lower than the forecasted increase of 395,000 and the previous month’s increase of 479,000. Markets were largely unmoved by the ADP Employment figures as participants awaited the Fed’s interest rate …

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Gold rises as US ADP Nonfarm Employment massively underperforms

On Wednesday afternoon (GMT +2), the US ADP Nonfarm Employment data was released. The results showed that private U.S. payrolls fell by 301,000 in January 2022, the largest drop since April 2020, and far from the gain of 207,000 estimated by economists polled by Dow Jones. This is the first time in …

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ADP Employment Data Far Exceeds Expectations

On January 5 (Wednesday), the United States announced the December ADP employment data. According to the ADP private payroll numbers for December, 807,000 jobs were added compared to estimates of a figure of 410,000 and the previous value of 534,000, the largest increase since May 2021. The minutes from the Fed’s December FOMC meeting on …

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Key Economic Announcements

Economic announcements, or new events, are a widely followed aspect of trading due to their influence on monetary as well as political policy. Therefore, it is important to know which announcements are going to create the most impact and volatility so as to take advantage of their movements. Here are some of …

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Non-Farm Payrolls

Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) measures the amount of jobs gained in the U.S. during the previous month that aren’t farm related. It is typically released on the first Friday of the new month, and also includes the Unemployment Rate, Average Hourly Earnings, and the Participation Rate. While all of those releases can have …

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